Many insiders believe Annette Bening will win for The Kids Are All Right, thanks to the support of the Academy’s older voters. She’ll be helped by her place on the board of governors, respect for her body of work and sympathy for three previous losses. But other veterans have lost to fresher faces: Remember Marion Cotillard’s win over Julie Christie in 2008 and Juliette Binoche’s over Lauren Bacall in 1997? It’s a close race, but Portman has the showier role; that and the fact that she won the SAG Award get her the Oscar.
Many insiders believe Annette Bening will win for The Kids Are All Right, thanks to the support of the Academy’s older voters. She’ll be helped by her place on the board of governors, respect for her body of work and sympathy for three previous losses. But other veterans have lost to fresher faces: Remember Marion Cotillard’s win over Julie Christie in 2008 and Juliette Binoche’s over Lauren Bacall in 1997? It’s a close race, but Portman has the showier role; that and the fact that she won the SAG Award get her the Oscar.